Vegas Odds For Nascar Michigan
Over the course of this betting guide, we’re giving you the full lowdown on winning wagers at Michigan — including expert advice, nitty-gritty details about the speedway, the latest Las Vegas odds NASCAR Michigan, and a whole lot more! Let’s jump right into it! NASCAR Michigan Best Sites 2021. Jimmie Johnson and Carl Edwards are the co-favorites on the NASCAR betting lines to take the checkered flag in the Pure Michigan 400 at Michigan International Speedway this weekend. At custom:bodog-link it's Johnson and Edwards at the top of the Sprint Cup betting board to win Sunday afternoon's Michigan event at 7/1 odds, with Denny Hamlin and Kyle Busch both sitting at 8/1 odds to visit. Odds to Win the 2021 NASCAR Cup Series Championship according to BetOnline Sportsbook. Updated on November 17, 2020. NASCAR Cup Series Odds to Win Nascar Cup Series Championship 2021 Kevin Harvick +500 Chase Elliott +700 Denny Hamlin +700 Joey Logano +700 Kyle Busch +700 Brad Keselowski +800 Martin Truex Jr +800 Kyle Larson +1200.
© Provided by CBS SportsJun 8, 2018; Brooklyn, MI, USA; NASCAR Cup Series driver Kurt Busch (41) during practice for the FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway.
After claiming his fifth checkered flag of the season on Saturday, Kevin Harvick has seen his lead in the NASCAR standings grow to 94 points as Brad Keselowski (769) and Denny Hamlin (736) inch further back. Harvick will look to claim his third consecutive checkered flag at Michigan International Speedway on Sunday at 4:30 p.m. ET in the 2020 Consumers Energy 400. Harvick has had plenty of success at Michigan International Speedway in his career, finishing on top of the NASCAR at Michigan leaderboard four times and earning a runner-up finish on seven separate occasions.
William Hill lists Harvick at 9-5 in the latest 2020 Consumers Energy 400 odds, while Denny Hamlin (9-2), Brad Keselowski (15-2) and Ryan Blaney (15-2) are next in line on the NASCAR odds board. There are a total of five drivers fetching 17-2 or better in the latest 2020 NASCAR at Michigan odds. Before locking in any 2020 Consumers Energy 400 picks, be sure to see the latest 2020 NASCAR at Michigan predictions and projected leaderboard for Sunday from the proven model at SportsLine.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
Vegas Odds For Michigan Nascar
The model began the 2020 NASCAR season by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. It got off to a hot start on its NASCAR picks following the coronavirus hiatus as well, calling seven of the top 10 drivers at both Darlington races.
Using the model, McClure also recommended an outright play on winner Brad Keselowski at 13-1 as one of his best bets at Bristol in May. The model also called Kevin Harvick's win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure also used the model to lock in an outright bet on Hamlin winning at 10-1 at Miami. At The Brickyard, the model called Harvick's fourth victory of the season, and also identified four top-five drivers in the All-Star Race at Bristol. Anybody who has follow the model has seen some huge returns.
Now, the model simulated NASCAR at Michigan 2020 on Sunday, Aug. 9 10,000 times. Head here to see the complete projected leaderboard.
Top 2020 Consumers Energy 400 predictions
For Sunday's 2020 Consumers Energy 400, the model is high on Kurt Busch, even though he's a 25-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR at Michigan 2020 odds from William Hill. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Busch is drawing slightly longer odds on Sunday because of his inconsistency. He has 13 top-10 finishes this season, but he's also finished 13th or worse in five of his last nine races.
While it's been tough for NASCAR bettors to figure out what to expect from him on a weekly basis, Busch has been strong at Michigan International Speedway in his career. In fact, he has three career victories and 15 top-10 finishes at the track. That level of success and his double-digit odds make him one of the drivers you should be all over in your 2020 NASCAR at Michigan bets, according to the model.
And a massive shocker: Ryan Blaney, among the top Vegas favorites at 15-2, stumbles and barely cracks the top 10. Although Blaney won at Talladega earlier this season, he has been off the pace in recent races.
Blaney was 20th at both New Hampshire last weekend and Kansas the week before. He was also 40th at Bristol, 32nd at Indianapolis and 22nd at Pocono since the restart. Blaney currently sits fifth in the NASCAR standings but is trending the wrong direction as the playoffs near. Blaney has never won at Michigan and it isn't likely he will break through at Sunday's 2020 Consumers Energy 400.
How to make 2020 Consumers Energy 400 picks
The model is also targeting three other drivers with NASCAR at Michigan odds of 12-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag, including a massive long shot who's higher than 30-1. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can only see who they are here.
So who wins Sunday's 2020 Consumers Energy 400? And which long shots stun NASCAR? Check out the latest odds below and then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2020 NASCAR at Michigan leaderboard, all from the model that has crushed its NASCAR picks and nailed the Daytona 500.
2020 NASCAR at Michigan odds (via William Hill)
Kevin Harvick (9-5)
Denny Hamlin (9-2)
Las Vegas Odds For Nascar Michigan Race
Ryan Blaney (15-2)
Brad Keselowski (15-2)
Martin Truex Jr. (17-2)
Joey Logano (11-1)
Chase Elliott (12-1)
Kyle Busch (13-1)
Aric Almirola (22-1)
Kurt Busch (25-1)
Erik Jones (40-1)
Matt DiBenedetto (40-1)
Alex Bowman (40-1)
William Byron (45-1)
Jimmie Johnson (50-1)
Tyler Roddick (55-1)
Christopher Bell (60-1)
Clint Bowyer (60-1)
Matt Kenneth (100-1)
Cole Custer (100-1)
Austin Dillon (100-1)
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (200-1)
Ryan Newman (200-1)
Bubba Wallace (250-1)
Chris Buescher (300-1)
John Hunter Nemechek (1000-1)
Michael McDowell (2000-1)
Ty Dillon (2500-1)
Ryan Preece (2500-1)
Garrett Smithley (5000-1)
James Davison (5000-1)
Josh Bilicki (5000-1)
Quin Houff (5000-1)
Timmy Hill (5000-1)
Brennan Poole (5000-1)
Reed Sorenson (5000-1)
Daniel Suarez (5000-1)
JJ Yeley (5000-1)
Corey Lajoie (5000-1)
Picking a winner based on the odds for Saturday's NASCAR Cup Series race at Michigan International Speedway (3 p.m. ET, NBCSN) is tricky since this is now a unique event. Not only is it NASCAR's first visit to the two-mile oval in the Irish Hills of Michigan this season, but the FireKeepers Casino 400 is now the first leg of a Saturday-Sunday doubleheader.
When the NASCAR Cup Series last visited this track in August of last year, Kevin Harvick cruised to a win after successfully stretching his final fuel run. That, combined with the series points leader's strong 2020 season thus far, is why Havick is considered the favorite for Saturday's race at Michigan.
MORE: Watch NASCAR live with fuboTV (7-day free trial)
Denny Hamlin finished second in that August race at Michigan last year, but only because Joey Logano gave up the position for a splash of fuel. Logano, of course, won the first of two Cup Series races at Michigan last season, so it's no surprise to see Logano and Hamlin behind Harvick on the odds board for Saturday.
Below are the complete Vegas odds to win Saturday's NASCAR Cup Series race at Michigan, plus our top three picks of drivers who could end up taking the checkered flag.
NASCAR odds to win at Michigan
Harvick is a familiar favorite atop the odds board in 2020, as only Hamlin (five) has more wins than Harvick's four victories this season. It doesn't hurt that Harvick cruised to victory in the late-summer race at Michigan last season.
Below are the complete odds to win Saturday's NASCAR race at Michigan, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.
Driver | Odds to win Michigan race |
Kevin Harvick | +420 |
Denny Hamlin | +500 |
Joey Logano | +700 |
Brad Keselowski | +800 |
Chase Elliott | +800 |
Martin Truex Jr. | +900 |
Kyle Busch | +1200 |
Ryan Blaney | +1300 |
Aric Almirola | +1900 |
Kurt Busch | +3100 |
Alex Bowman | +3500 |
Erik Jones | +3500 |
Clint Bowyer | +4700 |
Matt DiBenedetto | +4700 |
William Byron | +4700 |
Jimmie Johnson | +5500 |
Tyler Reddick | +5500 |
Austin Dillon | +7500 |
Christopher Bell | +7500 |
Cole Custer | +7500 |
Matt Kenseth | +7500 |
Ryan Newman | +17000 |
Brennan Poole | +20000 |
Bubba Wallace | +20000 |
Chris Buescher | +20000 |
Corey LaJoie | +20000 |
Daniel Suarez | +20000 |
Ty Dillon | +20000 |
Garrett Smithley | +20000 |
JJ Yeley | +20000 |
Joey Gase | +20000 |
John Hunter Nemechek | +20000 |
Michael McDowell | +20000 |
Quin Houff | +20000 |
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | +20000 |
Ryan Preece | +20000 |
Below are the top 10 driver ratings at Michigan among active racers:
- Chase Elliott, 100.4
- Matt Kenseth, 99.8
- Kevin Harvick, 99.6
- Joey Logano, 99.3
- Brad Keselowski, 97.2
- Jimmie Johnson, 92.6
- Ryan Blaney, 92.2
- Kurt Busch, 91.5
- Denny Hamlin, 91.0
- Kyle Busch, 89.3
Logano is on the pole for Saturday's race at Michigan based on the results of a random draw, which is great news for the No. 22 team. The top starting position is by far the most proficient in the field at Michigan, producing almost 22 percent of the Cup Series winners at the track.
The last driver to win at Michigan after staring on the pole? Logano, in this race last year.
Below is the breakdown of wins by starting position in the history of Cup racing (101 total races) at Michigan.
Starting position | Winning % | Wins |
1st | 21.78 percent | 22 |
Front row | 30.69 percent | 31 |
Top 5 | 59.41 percent | 60 |
Top 10 | 75.25 percent | 76 |
Outside top 20 | 6.93 percent | 7 |
The top 10 starters for Saturday's race at Michigan (as determined by a random draw of the top 12 teams by owner points) are as follows:
- Joey Logano
- Denny Hamlin
- Kevin Harvick
- Aric Almirola
- Brad Keselowski
- Alex Bowman
- Kyle Busch
- Chase Elliott
- Clint Bowyer
- Kurt Busch
MORE: Complete starting lineup for New Hampshire race
Vegas Odds For Nascar Michigan Race Sunday
NASCAR at Michigan expert picks
(Driver loop data stats are from 2005-present)
1. Kevin Harvick
Career stats at Michigan:
- Three wins, 13 top fives, 19 top 10s; one pole
- Average finish of 10.300 (second-best)
- Average running position of 11.893 (sixth-best)
- Driver rating of 99.6 (third-best)
Harvick is tied with Matt Kenseth and Kurt Busch for the most Cup Series starts (38) at Michigan, and he's tied with Logano and Busch for the most wins (three) at the track among active drivers. That experience, combined with his team's speed in 2020, should give him a good chance to notch victory No. 4 at the two-mile oval.
2. Chase Elliott
Career stats at Michigan:
- Three top fives, seven top 10s
- Average finish of 7.625 (series-best)
- Average running position of 9.965 (series-best)
- Driver rating of 100.4 (series-best)
Elliott has not yet won at Michigan in his Cup Series career, but statistically speaking, he is the best driver in Saturday's field. Potentially helping his chance to win is the fact that the only comparable race thus far this season, the March 1 event at the similarly configured Auto Club Speedway, was won by Elliott's Hendrick Motorsports teammate, Alex Bowman.
3. Joey Logano
Career stats at Michigan:
- Three wins, six top fives, 15 top 10s; four poles
- Average finish of 12.182 (fourth-best)
- Average running position of 11.471 (fourth-best)
- Driver rating of 99.3 (fourth-best)
Vegas Odds For Nascar Michigan
Logano has an impressive resume at Michigan, and even though his teammates Brad Keselowski and Ryan Blaney are ahead of him in points this season, the driver of the No. 22 statistically is the best at this track among those in the Team Penske stable.